Monday, September 23, 2013

2013-14 TV Renewal Odds- September 23

This is not just a rehash of what I said in July.  Predictions for shows that have already premiered are subject to the most change, but there also may be some modifications to other shows in advance of premiere week, which begins tonight.

I have only included new shows that are scheduled to premiere by November 30.  On this blog, the term renewed means that a show will be on the schedule for the 2014-15 TV season, not just that it will air a full season.  I also do not make predictions on news programs, such as Dateline, 60 Minutes, and 20/20, although I am very confident that all 3 will be on the schedule for 2014-15.  Also, know that predictions for new shows will change greatly once we have data.



VETERANS ON ALERT IN 2013-14:
Two and a Half Men
Bones
Community
Parenthood
Law & Order: SVU
The Apprentice
The Mentalist
The Good Wife



NOTE: For new shows, only fall premieres will be in this.
COMEDIES
American Dad- Renewed, Moving to TBS
The Big Bang Theory- 100%
Family Guy- 100%
Modern Family- 100%
2 Broke Girls- 100%
New Girl- 100%
The Middle- 100%
Last Man Standing- 95% (-2%)
Bob's Burgers- 95%
The Simpsons 90% (-10%)
Parks & Recreation- 90%
Suburgatory- 70%
The Michael J. Fox Show- 70%
                                                                
Mom- 65%
The Crazy Ones- 65%
Brooklyn Nine-Nine- 58% (+43%)
Two and a Half Men- 55%
Mike & Molly- 51%
The Goldbergs- 49%
The Millers- 49%
Super Fun Night- 45%
Raising Hope- 40%
Community- 40%
                                                                  
We Are Men- 30%
The Neighbors- 30% (-10%)
Trophy Wife- 25%
Sean Saves the World- 25%
Dads- 20% (-40%)
The Mindy Project- 20%
Back in the Game- 20%
Welcome to the Family- 20%
How I Met Your Mother- Final Season



DRAMAS
Glee- Renewed
Criminal Minds- 100%
Once Upon a Time- 100%
NCIS- 100%
Person of Interest- 100%
The Vampire Diaries- 100%
The Following- 100%
Scandal- 100%
NCIS: LA- 100%
Supernatural- 100%
Grimm- 100%
Arrow- 100% 
Grey's Anatomy- 99%
CSI- 99%
Chicago Fire- 99%
Revenge- 95%
Sleepy Hollow- 90% (+60%)
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.- 90%
Castle- 75%
Elementary- 75%
The Blacklist- 70%
                                                              
Law & Order: SVU- 65% (+5%)
Nashville- 65% (+5%)
The Good Wife- 55%
Parenthood- 55%
The Originals- 55%
Reign- 55%
Hart of Dixie- 51%
Bones- 51% (-4%)
Hostages- 51% (+11%)
The Mentalist- 49%
Hawaii 5-0- 49%
Dracula- 45%
Blue Bloods- 40%
The Tomorrow People- 35%
                                                                    
Hannibal- 30%
Once Upon a Time in Wonderland- 30%
Almost Human- 25%
Ironside- 25%
Beauty and the Beast- 25%
Revolution- 25%
Betrayal- 20%
Lucky 7- 15%
The Carrie Diaries- 10%
Nikita- Final Season



REALITY
MasterChef- Renewed for 2 more seasons (Junior edition 55%)
The Voice- 100%
Survivor- 100%
The Amazing Race- 100%
Shark Tank- 100%
Dancing With the Stars- 100%
American Idol- 100%
The Bachelor- 100%
America's Funniest Home Videos- 99%
The Biggest Loser- 70%
Undercover Boss- 70%
                                                                       
The Celebrity Apprentice- 45%
The X Factor- 40% (-40%)
Kitchen Nightmares- 35%
                                                                          
The Sing Off- 30%
The Taste- 20%