TV Renewal Chances for 2012-13

To note, I will be using TV By The Numbers criteria for an announcement- i.e. Pan Am was canceled by ABC when they announced the midseason schedule. This is the same as the 'Predictions' posts, but I have changed the name to hopefully increase pageviews. All data is as of 9:00 PM Eastern on May 11, 2012. There are a few changes tonight:
-Freshly Renewed: Whitney, The Office, Up All Night, Parks & Rec, Happy Endings, America's Funniest Home Videos, Wife Swap, Fashion Star
- Private Practice is now a likely renewal, no longer a certain one.  It is not going red, so I bolded it.
- My final renewal odds are included for all bubble and likely shows.  Certain designates above a 95%, and usually a 100%, chance.
-UPDATE: NBC canceled Awake; Are You There, Chelsea; and Bent
-UPDATE: Shocker!  The CW renewed Nikita.  They also renewed Hart of Dixie
- You can argue that it is wrong, but I forgot to update Harry's Law before.  It is now on the bubble with a 40% chance of renewal.  This is due to favorable rumors. UPDATE: 5:40 PM- Harry's Law is canceled.
- I am not actually moving The Secret Circle this late in the game, but it would go in likely cancellation, with a 10% chance of renewal. UPDATE: Or not, it too was renewed.  TV Line, which was cited in the TV By the Numbers comments, made a mistake.  Secret Circle is canceled.  That typo must feel awful to The Secret Circle's fans.   What the @#$%, now the mistake may have been a mistake.  This is just plain weird.  I am moving The Secret Circle to a category of its own.   The saga continues, as it is indeed canceled.Gossip Girl is also renewed for a final season.  How will The CW have room for all of this?
- The CW canceled something: Ringer.
- ABC renewed Scandal and canceled GCB.
- ABC canceled freshmen dramas The River and Missing.
- ABC renewed Don't Trust the B- in Apartment 23.  Is Last Man Standing about to follow?  No scripted shows remain as certain renewals.
- More ABC news: Body of Proof's comeback is complete.  It is renewed.  Also, Private Practice will be back next year.
- Many hours later, Last Man Standing is finally renewed.  Onto CBS whenever it is ready.

Already Canceled/ Ending
CBS
How to be a Gentleman
A Gifted Man
NBC
The Firm
Free Agents
Prime Suspect
The Playboy Club
Best Friends Forever
Awake- Certain Cancellation- CORRECT
Bent- Certain Cancellation- CORRECT
Are You There, Chelsea- Certain Cancellation- CORRECT
Harry's Law- 60% Cancel (40% Renew)- CORRECT
Chuck- ENDED
ABC
Charlie's Angels
Man Up
Pan Am
Work It
Extreme Makeover: Home Edition
Desperate Housewives- ENDING
Cougar Town (moved to TBS)
GCB- RENEW 51% (CANCEL 49%)- INCORRECT
The River- Certain Cancellation- CORRECT
Missing- Certain Cancellation- CORRECT
FOX
Allen Gregory
Breaking In
I Hate my Teenage Daughter
Terra Nova
Alcatraz
The Finder
House- ENDING
CW
H8R
Remodeled
Ringer- Certain Cancellation- CORRECT
The Secret Circle- CANCEL 55% (RENEW 45%)- CORRECT
One Tree Hill- ENDED

Certain Cancellation
CBS
Unforgettable
NYC 22
NBC
Escape Routes
Rock Center
ABC
You Deserve It
FOX
Q'Viva The Chosen
CW
The LA Complex

Likely Cancellation
CBS
CSI: New York- CANCEL 80%
NBC
The Sing Off- CANCEL 75%
Who's Still Standing- CANCEL 70%
FOX
Napoleon Dynamite- CANCEL 80%


On the Bubble
CBS
Rob- CANCEL 51% (RENEW 49%)
NBC
Who do You Think You Are- CANCEL 55% (RENEW 45%)
Fear Factor- RENEW 60% (CANCEL 40%)
FOX
Mobbed- CANCEL 65% (RENEW 35%)
COPS- RENEW 65% (CANCEL 35%)

Likely Renewal
CBS
Rules of Engagement- RENEW 85%
CSI: Miami- RENEW 75%
NBC
Off Their Rockers- RENEW 85%


Certain Renewal
NBC
The Biggest Loser
The Celebrity Apprentice
Dateline
ABC
20/20
Wipeout
What Would You Do
FOX
American Idol

Already Renewed
CBS
Survivor
The Amazing Race
Undercover Boss
60 Minutes
48 Hours Mystery
Two Broke Girls
How I Met Your Mother
Mike & Molly
Hawaii 5-0
NCIS
NCIS: LA
Criminal Minds
CSI
The Big Bang Theory (through 2014)
Person of Interest
The Mentalist
Blue Bloods
The Good Wife
Two and a Half Men
NBC
Grimm
Smash
Law & Order: SVU
Parenthood
30 Rock (Final Season)
Community
Fashion Star
Up All Night
Whitney
The Office
Parks & Rec
The Voice
FOX
Bones
New Girl
Raising Hope
Glee
The X Factor
Kitchen Nightmares
Fringe (Final Season)
American Dad (through 2014)
The Simpsons (through 2015)
Family Guy (through 2014)
The Cleveland Show
Bob's Burgers
Touch
ABC
Revenge
Suburgatory
Grey's Anatomy
Modern Family
The Middle
Once Upon a Time
Dancing With The Stars
The Bachelor
Shark Tank
Castle
Wife Swap
Happy Endings
America's Funniest Home Videos
Scandal- RENEW 75%- CORRECT
Don't Trust the B- in Apartment 23- Certain Renewal- CORRECT
Body of Proof- CANCEL 55% (RENEW 45%)- INCORRECT
Private Practice- RENEW 80%- CORRECT
Last Man Standing- RENEW 95%- CORRECT
CW
America's Next Top Model
90210
The Vampire Diaries
Supernatural
Nikita- Certain Cancellation- INCORRECT
Hart of Dixie- RENEW 55% (CANCEL 45%)- CORRECT
Gossip Girl (Final Season)- Certain Renewal- CORRECT