Monday, October 1, 2012

Renewal Odds for 2013-14- PREMIERE WEEK


Week One Top Five Winners: 
1. Bob's Burgers- Up 25% to 70%  Bob's Burgers displayed very solid premiere ratings.  It does not cost much to make and appears to be in good shape.
2. Grimm- Up 20% to 65%  I thought that Grimm may really struggle this year after I saw its Monday numbers.  However, its Friday premiere delivered solid-for-Friday numbers.
t-3. Grey's Anatomy- Up 15% to 100%  In what was a difficult premiere week for returning shows, Grey's Anatomy actually grew on its premiere numbers from a year ago.  Enough said.
t-3. Elementary- Up 15% to 70%  I never expected that Elementary would grow on its POI lead in.
t-5. The Neighbors (up 10% to 35%) and The Good Wife (up 10% to 25%).  The Good Wife's decision will come down to critical acclaim versus cost, while The Neighbors' fate will be more clear a week from now.

Week One Top Five Losers:
1.666 Park Avenue- Down 50% to 20%  I had expected 666 Park Avenue to be a very solid performer   Instead, it dropped big from its Revenge lead-in.
2.Two and a Half Men- Down 35% to 40%  A 3.5 may be great for most shows, but 2.5 Men is so expensive to produce.  Plus, it dropped 1.5 from its Big Bang lead in.
3. Animal Practice- Down 29% to 1%  Considering that it premiered after the Olympics (back in August), it should have been able to get more out of its first regular airing.  DOA.
4. Blue Bloods- Down 25% to 70%  Syndication should save it for one more year, but its premiere of a 1.5 was bad.
5. Partners- Down 23% to 2%  A 2.4 rating may be acceptable on any other network, but not CBS.  As CBS has Rules of Engagement, which should be good for a 3.0, ready, this is not long for the world.

LOCK 'EM UP (New additions in italics and renewed in bold):
GOOD (100%)- The Big Bang Theory, American Dad, The Simpsons, Family Guy, The Voice, Modern Family, Criminal Minds, NCIS, Person of Interest, The Vampire Diaries, Survivor, The Amazing Race, America's Funniest Home Videos, Shark Tank, Dancing with the Stars, American Idol, The X Factor, Once Upon a TimeGrey's Anatomy
BAD (0%)-30 Rock, The Office, Gossip Girl, Fringe, The Mob Doctor, Made in Jersey
Demoted: Hawaii 5-0 (now 90%)

NOTE: For new shows, only fall premieres will be in this.
COMEDIES
The Big Bang Theory- Renewed
American Dad- Renewed
The Simpsons- Renewed
Family Guy- Renewed
Modern Family- 100%
2 Broke Girls- 99%
The Middle- 98% (+8%)
Mike & Molly- 98% (-1%)
Suburgatory- 95%
Go On- 92% (-5%)
New Girl- 80%
Bob's Burgers- 70% (+25%)
How I Met Your Mother- 70%
                                                                
Malibu Country- 65%
Whitney- 65%
Parks & Recreation- 65%
The Mindy Project- 50% (-5%)
Raising Hope- 50%
Last Man Standing- 45%
The New Normal- 40% (-10%)
Two and a Half Men- 40% (-35%)
Happy Endings- 35%
The Cleveland Show- 35%
The Neighbors- 35% (+10%)
                                                                  
Don't Trust the B- in Apt. 23- 30%
Ben & Kate- 25%
Rules of Engagement- 20%
Community- 20%
Guys With Kids- 15% (-3%)
Up All Night- 3% (+2%)
Partners- 2% (-23%)
Animal Practice- 1% (-29%)
30 Rock- Final Season
The Office- Final Season




DRAMAS
Criminal Minds- 100%
Once Upon a Time- 100% (+5%)
NCIS- 100%
Person of Interest- 100%
The Vampire Diaries- 100%
Grey's Anatomy- 100% (+15%)
CSI- 99%
Bones- 99%
NCIS: LA- 99% (+4%)
Revenge- 99%- (+4%)
Glee- 90%
Hawaii 5-0- 90% (-10%)
Revolution- 85% (+5%)
Castle- 80% (-5%)
Parenthood- 75%
Supernatural- 75%
Blue Bloods- 70% (-25%)
Law & Order: SVU- 70% (+5%)
Arrow- 70%
Elementary- 70% (+15%)
                                                              
Nikita- 65%
Grimm- 65% (+20%)
90210- 60%
Smash- 60%
The Mentalist- 55% (-5%)
Beauty and the Beast- 50%
Hart of Dixie- 50%
Nashville- 45%
Vegas- 35% (-10%)
                                                                    
Chicago Fire- 30%
Emily Owens, M.D.- 30%
Last Resort- 25%
The Good Wife- 25% (+10%)
Scandal- 25%
Private Practice- 20% (-20%)
666 Park Avenue- 20% (-50%)
CSI:NY- 10%
Touch- 10%
Body of Proof- 5%
The Mob Doctor- 0%
Made in Jersey- 0% (-20%)
Gossip Girl- Final Season
Fringe- Final Season



REALITY
The Voice- Renewed
Survivor- 100%
The Amazing Race- 100%
America's Funniest Home Videos- 100%
Shark Tank- 100%
Dancing With the Stars- 100%
American Idol- 100%
The X Factor- 100%
The Bachelor- 99%
What Would You Do- 85%
The Celebrity Apprentice- 80%
                                                                       
Kitchen Nightmares- 65%
Undercover Boss- 60%
America's Next Top Model- 60%
The Biggest Loser- 55%
COPS- 50%
Betty White's Off Their Rockers- 40%
Wife Swap- 35%
                                                                          
Fashion Star- 30%

1 comment:

  1. I hope that "Vegas" stays on the air because I'm starting to like this new aged “Texas Ranger”. I'm disappointed that “666 Park Avenue” ratings are down because I had high expectations for this show. It has a good plot, but I think is slow start is what's turning people off from the show. I got the Hopper when my DISH coworker told me that it would automatically record all of my prime time shows that come on CBS, NBC, FOX and ABC everyday in HD.

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